The welfare cost of inflation with banking time

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Abstract

The paper presents the welfare cost of inflation in a banking time economy that models exchange credit through a bank production approach. The estimate of welfare cost uses fundamental parameters of utility and production technologies. It is compared to a cash-only economy, and a [Lucas, Robert Jr. E. 2000. “Inflation and Welfare.”  Econometrica  68 (2): 247–274.] shopping economy without leisure, as special cases. The paper estimates the welfare cost of a 10% inflation rate instead of zero, for comparison to other estimates, as well as the cost of a 2% inflation rate instead of a zero inflation rate. A zero rate is statutorily specified as the US inflation rate target in the 1978 Employment Act amendments. The paper provides a conservative welfare cost estimate of 2% inflation instead of zero at $33 billion a year. Estimates of the percent of government expenditure that can be financed through a 2% vs. zero inflation rate are also provided.

Original languageAmerican English
JournalB. E. Journal of Macroeconomics
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 20 2018

Keywords

  • Euler equation
  • Great Recession
  • banking
  • inflation
  • interest rates
  • marginal cost
  • money demand
  • price-theoretic
  • productivity shocks
  • velocity

Disciplines

  • Economics
  • Macroeconomics

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