Abstract
The paper presents the welfare cost of inflation in a banking time economy that models exchange credit through a bank production approach. The estimate of welfare cost uses fundamental parameters of utility and production technologies. It is compared to a cash-only economy, and a [Lucas, Robert Jr. E. 2000. “Inflation and Welfare.” Econometrica 68 (2): 247–274.] shopping economy without leisure, as special cases. The paper estimates the welfare cost of a 10% inflation rate instead of zero, for comparison to other estimates, as well as the cost of a 2% inflation rate instead of a zero inflation rate. A zero rate is statutorily specified as the US inflation rate target in the 1978 Employment Act amendments. The paper provides a conservative welfare cost estimate of 2% inflation instead of zero at $33 billion a year. Estimates of the percent of government expenditure that can be financed through a 2% vs. zero inflation rate are also provided.
Original language | American English |
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Journal | B. E. Journal of Macroeconomics |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Dec 20 2018 |
Keywords
- Euler equation
- Great Recession
- banking
- inflation
- interest rates
- marginal cost
- money demand
- price-theoretic
- productivity shocks
- velocity
Disciplines
- Economics
- Macroeconomics