The Frequency of Financial Analysts' Forecast Revisions: Theory and Evidence About Determinants of Demand for Predisclosure Information: Theory and evidence about determinants of demand for predisclosure information

Craig W. Holden, Pamela S. Stuerke

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

A fundamental property of a financial market is its degree of price informativeness. A major determinant of price informativeness is predisclosure information collected by financial analysts and then privately disseminated to clients, who make the recommended trades. We develop a dynamic model of the analyst's optimal strategy of forecast revision frequency with endogenous analysts and endogenous traders. We then empirically test the model's predictions. We find that forecast revision frequency is positively associated with earnings variability, trading volume, and earnings response coefficients, and negatively associated with skewness of trading volume. Thus, we find strong empirical support for our dynamic model.

Original languageAmerican English
Pages (from-to)860-888
Number of pages29
JournalJournal of Business Finance & Accounting
Volume35
Issue number7-8
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 9 2008

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

  • Accounting
  • Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous)
  • Finance

Keywords

  • Analysts' forecast revisions
  • Forecast revision frequency
  • Predisclosure information

Disciplines

  • Economics
  • Finance

Cite this